KALKINMA AJANSI ÖRNEKLERİ
4. ALMAN KALKINMA BANKAS
• Índice Multivariado Sobre o Brasil Tropical
– Transformar o MIBT em real-time e avaliar a capacidade preditiva da preci-
pitação, utilizando modelagem estocástica.
– Avaliar a relação da precipitação do Brasil Tropical com o Índice Multivariado
Real-time MJO.
– Avaliar o comportamento do MIBT e RMM nos eventos de El Niño - Oscila-
Capítulo 5. Conclusões 68 • Cenários de Mudanças climáticas e a Precipitação no BrT
– Verificar a destreza da precipitação e fluxo de umidade do Modelos do
CMIP5 em várias escalas de tempo
– Testar técnicas de ”Downscaling” estocástico e dinâmico sobre o BrT – Criar uma base ”Multi-Model” das variáveis regionalizadas sobre o BrT para
os diversos cenários de mudanças climáticas. • Modelos do CMIP5 e Variabilidade Intrassazonal
– Determinar o padrão Intrassazonal de outros modelos do CMIP5
– Avaliar a sensibilidade dos modelos a fenômenos climáticos de grande es-
cala
69
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