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NEAR EAST UNİVERSİTY

Faculty of Engineering Department of Computer Engineering

Course Code Com453 Course Title

Decision Making

Academic Year 2015-2016 fall Course

Credit 3

E-mail Office Tel

Instructor(s) As.prof Imanov E.. Elbrus.imanov@neu.edu.t

r 16H35

Assistant(s)

Course objectives The aim of the course is to expose the student to the theory and practice of decision making theory and forecasting, to impart an understanding of the role of decision making process. You have to understand many of the models and theories in decision making and forecasting.

Weekly Schedule

Week 1. Introduction to decision making. Decision making process.

Week 2. Decision Trees. Decision making under uncertainty.

Week 3. Utility theory.

Week 4. Group decision making.

Week 5. Risk theory. Risk aversion. Decision making under risk.

Week 6-7. Decision making under conflict.

Weeks 8. Queuing theory.

Week 9. Linear regression model and correlation.

Week 10. Multiple regression model.

Weeks 11-12. Exponential smoothing Week 13. Time series. Forecast accuracy.

Week 14. Non - linear models for forecasting.

Textbook(s)/

Required Reading

R.A.Aliev, B. Fazlollahi and R.R.Aliev. Soft Computing and its Applications in Business and Economics, Springer, 2004.

Recommended Reading

K.T.Marshall and R.T.Oliver. Decision making and forecasting. MC-Graw Hill, 1995.

Grading Critters Midterm exam 35%

Quız 20%

Final exam 45%

Referanslar

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