TÜRKİYE’DE CARİ İŞLEMLER HESABININ ÖDEMELER DENGESİ İÇİNDEKİ YERİ VE TARİHSEL GELİŞİMİ

(1)

158

THE PLACE OF THE CURRENT ACCOUNT IN THE BALANCE OF PAYMENTS AND ITS DEVELOPMENT IN TURKEY

Yazar / Author:

ⁱ

ii

Abstract

Balance of Payments are accounts in which all the economic activities are recorded by goods, services, transfers and asset transactions realized by residents in one country for a certain period of time - for one year. Payments Balance consists of three categories: Current account, capital account and financial account. Current account is current transactions of a country with the rest of the world. It is an economic indicator showing financial needs and saving tendencies of a country. In this paper, the place of the current account in the Balance of Payments and its development in Turkey will be examined.

Key Words: Turkey, Balance of Payments, Current Account

, -

-

- - Anahtar Kelimeler:

1.

D

Economy And Policy isimli u-

i

(2)

159 2

g

gelirle ilgi mal ve

sebe -

(3)

160 (BPM6)

sermaye net hata ve noksan

(-

- -

n mal dengesi, hizmet dengesi

Mal Dengesi;

Hizmetler Dengesi;

hizmetleri, sigorta hizme Gelirler

Dengesi;

(4)

161 transferle

D ( ), (tahvil, bono,

SDR),

Net Hata ve Noksan;

f

3

(5)

162 veren bir ekonomi

k ve politik tahribatlar

-

1.

Kaynak: IMF, databank.

(6)

163

.

Kaynak:

(7)

164

.

Kaynak:

- rmaye

-

-gider

3

Birincil Gelir

(8)

165 ticaretini

hizmetler, f (TCMB, 2014).

. 1980- -

-1.04 iken, 2004-

-

: -2015)

likte hareket

(9)

166 CA = X M + NY + NCT (1)

e,

NCT : Net cari transfer

GSYH = C + I + G + X M (2)

GSMH = C + I + G + X M + rF (3)

GSMH (C + G) = I + X M + rF (4)

(Mankiw, 1994).

CA = X M + rF (5)

CA = GSMH (C + G) I = S I (6)

S

P

(10)

167 S

G

S = S

P

+ S

G

= (GSMH T C) + (T G) (7)

I = I

^P

+ I

^G

(8)

-

CA = (S

G

I

G

) + (S

P

I

P

) (9)

- -

m tasarruf-

- -

anlamak

vadede

birlikte i

aha fazla etkilenmesi Mundell-

-Fleming ar

(11)

168 - -

harcanabilir gelirlerinin

abilir.

a -2003

-

. -2014)

Kaynak: IMF databank

al kriz

-

(12)

169 b

yoluna giderler (Gruber ve Kamin, 2005:1-

- n

- -2005

duruma geldik

-

- genelinde cari hesap dinamiklerini

in olarak bir krizin habercisi

(13)

170 C., DeMarco, L., P. ve Kamin S.:2011).

2.2

-

-1922;

-1929;

-1939 ; -1945;

-1953;

-

- -

1979);

-1988;

1989-2000.

- -

eliyle yerli

olan mallara daha

(14)

171 -30).

1923-

-

1930-

- 1940-

1950-

-

P etkisiyle itha

1954-

(15)

172 Bu program

- - -

-1969

1962- -

-

(16)

173 1974-

milyardan 1979'da 13.6 milyar dolara indirebildi.

art

de

-

- olarak daha az

etkilendi. 1980-

ve

an

lanan

-fonlar getirildi,

me" 84

dilerek

(17)

174 Devletin piyasaya gibi tekeller

hafifletilmesi

-

(18)

175

2.

Kaynak: TCMB, El 1984-

-1987 ara

- -

(19)

176 3.

Kaynak:

1980-

Bu olumlu or

-

- -

.

(20)

177 4.

Kaynak:

kovertibl oldu.1988, 1989, 1991, 1994, 19 -1989'da

19 uygula

n

(21)

178 5.Mal , Hizmet ve Gelir Dengesi

Kaynak: IMF databank

-

- 1990-

-

(% 9,4), ihracat a

(22)

179 2002-

- larla yeni bir rekor

6. Kaynak:

(23)

180 -

7-128.

Reserve System, USA.

IMF (2013). Sixth Edition of the IMF's Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Manual (BPM6), International Monetary Fund

Economic Review, 102(3): 1-23.

OBSTFELD, M.ve ROGOFF, Amsterdam: North Holland.

OBSTFELD, M. ve ROGOFF, K. (1996). Foundations of International Macroeconomics, MIT Press, ch:1.

-

(24)

181

RAZIN, A. (1995). -Optimizing Approach to the Current Account:

-economics of the Open Economy. NJ: Princeton.

SACHS, J. (1981).

-282.