$5*(9(5*ø7(ù9ø./(5ø9((.2120ø.%h<h0(3$1(/9$5 <$./$ù,0,
2QXU32/$7
Gönderim tarihi: 05.04.2019 Kabul tarihi: 06.09.2019 g]
%X oDOÕúPDGD $U*H YHUJL WHúYLNOHUL $U*H KDUFDPDODUÕ YH HNRQRPLN E\PH LOLúNLVL $PHULND %LUOHúLN 'HYOHWOHUL $YXVWXU\D %HOoLND dHN &XPKXUL\HWL )UDQVD *QH\ .RUH .DQDGD øQJLOWHUH øVSDQ\D YH 0DFDULVWDQ LoLQ G|QHPLQGH 3DQHO 9$5 PRGHOL LOH LQFHOHQPHNWHGLU %X NDSVDPGD %(QGHNVL $U*H KDUFDPDODUÕ YH *6<+ VHULOHUL HNRQRPHWULN DQDOL]GH NXOODQÕOPÕúWÕU 6HULOHULQ\DWD\NHVLWED÷ÕPOÕOÕ÷Õ3HVDUDQ&'WHVWLLOHWHVSLWHGLOPLúROXSVHULOHULQGXUD÷DQOÕ÷Õ 3HVDUDQ¶ÕQ QHVLO &,36 SDQHO ELULP N|N WHVWL LOH VÕQDQPÕúWÕU 6HULOHULQ , ROGXNODUÕ WHVSLW HGLOPLú ROXS IDUNODUÕ 3DQHO 9$5 DQDOL]LQGH NXOODQÕOPÕúWÕU 3DQHO 9$5 DQDOL] VRQXoODUÕ $U*H YHUJL WHúYLNOHUL YH $U*H KDUFDPDODUÕQÕQ HNRQRPLN E\PH\L SR]LWLI RODUDN HWNLOHGL÷L KLSRWH]LQL GHVWHNOHPHNWHGLU 6RQ RODUDN GH÷LúNHQOHU DUDVÕQGDNL QHGHQVHOOLN LOLúNLVL 3DQHO *UDQJHU 1HGHQVHOOLN WHVWL LOH LQFHOHQPLú YH $U*H KDUFDPDODUÕQGDQ *6<+¶\H YH %(QGHNVLQH GR÷UX WHN \|QO QHGHQVHOOL÷LQ YDUOÕ÷Õ WHVSLW HGLOPLúWLU dDOÕúPDQÕQ VRQXoODUÕ $U*H YHUJL WHVYLNOHULQLQ YH $U*H \DWÕUÕPODUÕQÕQHNRQRPLNE\PH\LWHWLNOHGL÷LDUJPDQÕQÕGR÷UXODPDNWDGÕU $QDKWDU.HOLPHOHU$U*H9HUJL7HúYLNOHUL%(QGHNVL3DQHO9$5 -HO.RGODUÕ&+2 5 '7$;,1&(17,9(6$1'(&2120,&*52:7+ $3$1(/9$5$3352$&+ $EVWUDFW ,QWKLVVWXG\WKHUHODWLRQVKLSEHWZHHQ5 'WD[LQFHQWLYHV5 'H[SHQGLWXUHVDQGHFRQRPLFJURZWK LV DQDO\]HG IRU WKH 86 $XVWUDOLD %HOJLXP &]HFK 5HSXEOLF )UDQFH 6RXWK .RUHD &DQDGD 8. 6SDLQ DQG +XQJDU\ IRU XVLQJ 3DQHO 9$5 PRGHO ,Q WKLV UHVSHFW %,QGH[ 5 ' H[SHQGLWXUHVDQG*'3VHULHVDUHXVHGLQWKHHFRQRPHWULFDQDO\VLV&URVVVHFWLRQDOGHSHQGHQFHIRUWKH YDULDEOHV LV GHWHFWHG E\ 3HVDUDQ¶V &' WHVW DQG VWDWLRQDULW\ RI WKH VHULHV DUH WHVWHG ZLWK 3HVDUDQ¶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
.H\ZRUGV5 '7D[,QFHQWLYHV%,QGH[3DQHO9$5 -HO&ODVLILFDWLRQ&+2
'U g÷UHWLP h\HVL %LOHFLN ùH\K (GHEDOL hQLYHUVLWHVL 0DOL\H %|OP %LOHFLN ùH\K (GHEDOL hQLYHUVLWHVL øNWLVDGLYHøGDUL%LOLPOHU)DNOWHVL*OPEH.DPSV%ø/(&ø.
*LULú
7HNQRORMLNUHNDEHWLQNRUXQDELOPHVLYHVUGUOHELOLUOL÷LLoLQNXOODQÕODQDUDúWÕUPDYHJHOLú WLUPH$U*HIDDOL\HWOHULJHOLúPLúYHJHOLúPHNWHRODQONHOHUWDUDIÕQGDQ\HQLKL]PHWPDO YH ELOJL UHWLPL DPDFÕ\OD NXOODQÕOPDNWDGÕU $U*H IDDOL\HWOHUL EHOLUOL DODQODUGD \R÷XQODú PDNWDGÕUgUQH÷LQ 7UNL\H¶GH JHUoHNOHúWLULOHQ$U*HIDDOL\HWOHUL L ELOLPVHO YH WHNQRORMLN DODQODUGDNLEHOLUVL]OLNOHULQRUWD\DoÕNDUÕOPDVÕLL\HQLUQPDO]HPHVDUIPDO]HPHFLKD] HNLSPDQSURVHGUYHVLVWHPOHULQJHOLúWLULOPHVLLLL\HQLYH|]JQWDVDUÕPUHWHQ\D]ÕOÕPOD UÕQJHOLúWLUOPHVLLY\HQLUQ\|QWHPVUHoYHSURVHGUDUDúWÕUPDYHJHOLúWLUPHIDDOL\HWOH ULQLQ\UWOPHVLYPDOL\HWOHULD]DOWPDNDPDFÕ\ODUQNDOLWHVWDQGDUWYHSHUIRUPDQVÕQÕQ DUWWÕUÕOPDVÕQD \|QHOLN RODQ oDOÕúPDODUÕQ \DSÕOPDVÕ DQD EDúOÕNODUÕQGD GH÷HUOHQGLULOHELOLU 'HORLWWHhQLYHUVLWHOHUYHNDPXDUDúWÕUPDHQVWLWOHULLúDOHPLVHNW|UYHGHYOHWL$U *H IDDOL\HWOHUL UHWHQ WHPHO DNW|UOHU RODUDN LIDGH HGHQ 2(&' EX DNW|UOHULQ ILNLUOHUL HNR QRPLNGH÷HUHG|QúWUPHGHNL|QHPOLUROOHULQHGLNNDWoHNPHNWHGLU%XDNW|UOHUVR\XWYH\D VRPXWWHNQRORMLNELOJLWHPHOOLVHUPD\HQLQUHWLPLQLYHNXOODQÕPÕQÕLoHUHQ$U*HIDDOL\HWOH ULQLGHNDSVD\DQLQRYDV\RQIDDOL\HWOHULJHUoHNOHúWLUPHNWHGLU2(&'ùHNLO¶GH EXVUHoJ|VWHULOPHNWHGLU ùHNLO$U*H)DDOL\HWOHULhUHWLPùHPDVÕ .D\QDN2(&' $U*HIDDOL\HWOHULQLQ\HQLILNLUYHLQRYDV\RQODUÕQUHWLOPHVLYHGHVWHNOHQPHVLDPDFÕ\OD SROLWLNDDUDFÕRODUDNNXOODQÕODQYHUJLWHúYLNOHULRWRULWHOHUWDUDIÕQGDQX\JXODQPDNWDGÕU(NR QRPLN SROLWLND SHUVSHNWLIL DoÕVÕQGDQ GH÷HUOHQGLULOGL÷LQGH VUGUOHELOLU ELU HNRQRPLN E \PH\LYHUHIDKÕVD÷ODPDVÕDoÕVÕQGDQYHUJLWHúYLNOHUL|QHPOLELU\HUWXUPDNWDGÕU%XED÷ ODPGDYHUJLWHúYLNOHULQLQHNRQRPLNoÕNWÕ\DRODQHWNLOHULQLQNDQWLWDWLIRODUDN|OoOPHVLRO GXNoD |QHPOLGLU %X DPDoOD 2(&' $U*H IDDOL\HWOHULQH X\JXODQDQ YHUJL WHúYLNOHULQLQ
HNRQRPLNoÕNWÕ\DRODQHWNLOHULQLQ|OoOPHVLDPDFÕ\ODNRPSR]LWELULQGH[RODQ%(QGHNVLQL ROXúWXUPXúWXU :DUGD $U*H¶\H X\JXODQDQ PDUMLQDO HIHNWLI YHUJL RUDQÕQÕQ ELU |O oV RODQ %(QGHNVL 2(&' WDUDIÕQGDQ ONH LoLQ \ÕOOÕN RODUDN \D\ÕQODQPDNWDGÕU % (QGHNVLQLQ HNRQRPLN HWNLQOL÷H RODQ PLNUR YH\D PDNUR G]H\GHNL HWNLOHUL OLWHUDWUGH ELU oRN oDOÕúPD WDUDIÕQGDQ LQFHOHQPHNWHGLU (OVFKQHU YH (UQVW :HVWPRUH (UQVW vd.%|VHQEHUJYH(JJHU
dDOÕúPDGD YHUL HULúLOHELOLUOL÷LQH ED÷OÕ RODUDN $U*H KDUFDPDODUÕQD \|QHOLN YHUJL WHú YLNOHULQLQHNRQRPLNE\PH]HULQGHNLHWNLOHUL2(&'ONHVLLoLQ3DQHO9$59HFWRU $XWR5HJUHVVLRQ9HNW|U2WRUHJUHVLIPRGHOLLOHDQDOL]HGLOPHNWHGLU
0DNHOHQLQ\DSÕVÕúXúHNLOGHGLU*LULúLL]OH\HQLNLQFLE|OPGH$U*HYHUJLWHúYLNOHULQLQ WHRULN DOW\DSÕVÕ YH 7UNL\H¶GHNL X\JXODPDODUÕ WDUWÕúÕOPDNWDGÕU hoQF E|OPGH $U*H YHUJL WHúYLNOHULQLQ2(&'ONHOHULQGHNLX\JXODPDODUÕ YHULOPHNWHGLUø]OH\HQ G|UGQFE| OPGH$U*HYHUJLWHúYLNOHULQLQELU|OoPRODQ%(QGHNVLQLQWDQÕPÕLIDGHHGLOPHNWHGLU %HúLQFL E|OPGH $U*H YHUJL WHúYLNOHUL YH HNRQRPLN E\PH DUDVÕQGDNL LOLúNL LQFHOHQ PHNWHGLU $OWÕQFÕ E|OPGH oDOÕúPDGD NXOODQÕODQ YHUL NPHVL PHWRGRORML YH DPSLULN VR QXoODUYHULOPHNWHGLU<HGLQFLYHVRQE|OPGHoDOÕúPDQÕQVRQXoODUÕWDUWÕúÕOPDNWDGÕU 2. $U*H9HUJL7HúYLNOHULQLQ7HRULN$OW\DSÕVÕYH7UNL\H¶GHNL8\JXODPDODUÕ /LWHUDWUGHNLLOJLOLoDOÕúPDODURWRULWHOHUWDUDIÕQGDQSL\DVDEDúDUÕVÕ]OÕ÷ÕQÕJLGHUPHNDPDFÕ\OD $U*H GHVWHNOHUL NDSVDPÕQGD X\JXODQDQ SROLWLND DUDoODUÕ DUDVÕQGD \HU DODQ YHUJL WHú YLNOHULQLQ WHRULN DOW\DSÕVÕQÕ LIDGH HWPHNWHGLU %X oDOÕúPDODU DUDVÕQGD \HU DODQ $NoRPDN¶D J|UH YHUJL WHúYLNOHULQLQ WHPHO DPDFÕ ³LúOHWPHOHULQ $U*H PDOL\HWOHULQL GúUHUHN $U*HKDUFDPDODUÕQÕHWNLQOHúWLUPHNYHEXIDDOL\HWOHUH\|QHOLNKDUFDPDODUÕDUWÕUPDNWÕU´ $FLQ|UR÷OX$U*HYHUJLWHúYLNOHULQL\HQLOLNoLVLVWHPLQELUSDUoDVÕRODQWHGELUOHU RODUDNGH÷HUOHQGLUPHNWHGLU<D]DUDJ|UH$U*HYHUJLWHúYLNOHULVD\HVLQGH$U*HIDDOL\HW OHULWHúYLNHGLOHUHN$U*H¶GH\HQLOLNOHUHYHVLOHROXQXUYHEXGXUXP\HQLOLNOHUGHYHULPOLOL÷LQ DUWPDVÕQÕVD÷ODU dDOÕúDQHOOHU$U*HIDDOL\HWOHULQLQWHúYLNHGLOPHVLQH\|QHOLNRODUDN7UNYHUJL VLVWHPLQGHX\JXODQDQG]HQOHPHOHULQD\ÕOÕ7HNQRORML*HOLúWLUPH%|OJHOHUL.DQXQX 2(&'WDUDIÕQGDQ\ÕOÕQGDONHLoLQ\D\ÕQODQDQ%HQGHNVGH÷HUOHULLoLQEN] KWWSZZZRHFGRUJVWLRHFGVFLHQFHWHFKQRORJ\DQGLQGXVWU\VFRUHERDUGKWP
2(&' ONHVL úX úHNLOGHGLU $PHULND %LUOHúLN 'HYOHWOHUL $YXVWXU\D %HOoLND dHN &XPKXUL\HWL )UDQVD *QH\.RUHøQJLOWHUHøVSDQ\D.DQDGD0DFDULVWDQ
VD\ÕOÕ.XUXPODU9HUJLVL.DQXQXYHVD\ÕOÕ$UDúWÕUPDYH*HOLúWLUPH)DDOL\HWOHUL QLQ'HVWHNOHQPHVL+DNNÕQGD.DQXQLOHEHOLUOHQGL÷LQLLIDGHHWPHNWHGLU
*]HO$U*HIDDOL\HWLVRQXFXQGDHOGHHGLOHQELOJLYHWHNQRORMLEXOXúODUÕQÕQ GÕúODQDPDPD YH WNHWLPOHULQGH UHNDEHW ROPDPDVÕ QHGHQOHUL\OH NDPXVDO PDO JUXEX LoLQGH \HU DOGÕNODUÕQÕ YH GROD\ÕVÕ\OD EX PDO JUXEX LoLQ NDPX PGDKDOHVLQLQ JHUHNWL÷LQL LIDGH HW PHNWHGLU <D]DUD J|UH EX PGDKDOH GHYOHWLQ $U*H \DWÕUÕPODUÕQÕ GR÷UXGDQ NHQGLVLQLQ \DSPDVÕYH|]HOVHNW|U$U*HIDDOL\HWOHULQLQNDPXWDUDIÕQGDQWHúYLNHGLOPHVLúHNOLQGHRO PDNWDGÕU.DPXPGDKDOHDUDoODUÕLoLQGH\HUDODQ$U*HYHUJLWHúYLNOHUL$U*HKDUFDPD ODUÕQÕGR÷UXGDQHWNLOH\HQSROLWLNDODULoLQGH\HUDOPDNWDGÕU*]HO
dHOHEL YH .DKUDPDQ GÕúVDO ID\GD\D VDKLS RODQ $U*H \DWÕUÕPODUÕQÕQ RSWLPXP SL\DVD UHWLPLQLQ DOWÕQGD NDOPDVÕQÕQ SL\DVD EDúDUÕVÕ]OÕ÷ÕQD \RO DoWÕ÷ÕQÕ EHOLUWPHNWHGLU %X GXUXPXQ HQJHOOHQPHVL DPDFÕ\OD GHYOHW WDUDIÕQGDQ $U*H IDDOL\HWOHULQH \|QHOLN YHUJL WHúYLNOHULQLQ X\JXODQGÕ÷Õ LIDGH HGLOPHNWHGLU %X WHúYLNOHU YHUJL HUWHOHPHOHUL YHUJL LQGL ULPOHULYHUJLNUHGLOHULYHJHQLúOHWLOPLúWHúYLNDUDoODUÕEDúOÕNODUÕDOWÕQGDVÕUDODQDELOLUdHOHEL YH.DKUDPDQ
'HPLUOL¶\H J|UH ELOLP YH WHNQRORML %7 NDSDVLWHVLQLQ \NVHOWLOPHVL LoLQ SL\DVD EDúDUÕVÕ]OÕ÷ÕQÕQ NDPX PGDKDOHVL LOH JLGHULOPHVL JHUHNPHNWHGLU %X PGDKDOHQLQ |QHPOLX\JXODPDELoLPOHULQGHQELULLVHYHUJLWHúYLNOHULGLU'HPLUOL
*|oHUvd.7UNL\H¶GHNL$U*HIDDOL\HWOHULQLQYHUJLVHO\ROODGHVWHNOHQPHVL LoLQ X\JXODPDGD RODQ VD\ÕOÕ \DVDGD |QHPOL DGÕPODUÕQ DWÕOGÕ÷ÕQD GLNNDW oHNPHNWHGLU %X NDSVDPGD DWÕODQ HQ |QHPOL DGÕP RODUDN RODQ $U*H LQGLULP RUDQÕQÕQ ¶H oÕNDUWÕOPDVÕJ|VWHULOPHNWHGLU*|oHUvd.
gWH\DQGDQONHOHUHNRQRPLNGXUXPODUÕQDYHPHY]XDW\DSÕODUÕQDJ|UH$U*HIDDOL\HW OHULLoLQIDUNOÕYHUJLWHúYLNWUOHULQLWHUFLKHGHELOPHNWHGLU%XWHúYLNOHUD÷ÕUOÕNOÕRODUDNYHUJL LQGLULPLYHUJLNUHGLVLYHYHUJLHUWHOHPHVLKÕ]ODQGÕUÕOPÕúDPRUWLVPDQYHSDWHQWNXWXUHMLPL RODUDN VD\ÕODELOLU 9HUJL LQGLULPOHUL YH YHUJL NUHGLOHUL EX WHúYLNOHU DUDVÕQGD HQ oRN WHUFLK HGLOHQOHULGLU7RVXQR÷OX
6RQRODUDN7HPPX]WDULKLQGH5HVPL*D]HWH¶GH\D\ÕPODQDUDN\UUO÷HJLUHQ ³VD\ÕOÕ6DQD\LQLQ*HOLúWLULOPHVLYHhUHWLPLQ'HVWHNOHQPHVL$PDFÕ\OD%D]Õ.DQXQYH .DQXQ +NPQGH .DUDUQDPHOHUGH 'H÷LúLNOLN <DSÕOPDVÕQD 'DLU .DQXQ´ LOH 7HNQRORML *HOLúWLUPH %|OJHOHUL .DQXQX QH]GLQGH GH÷LúLNOLNOHU \DSÕOPÕúWÕU dÕNDUÕODQ NDQXQ $U*H IDDOL\HWOHULQH\|QHOLNRODUDNX\JXODQDQYHUJLWHúYLNOHULQLGHLoHUHQELUWDNÕP\HQLOLNOHUJH WLUPHNWHGLU.XWED\YHg]
$U*H9HUJL7HúYLNOHULQLQ2(&'hONHOHULQGHNL8\JXODPDODUÕ
$%'YH$YUXSDONHOHULSROLWLND\DSÕFÕODUÕ\]\ÕOÕQ|QHPOLELUE|OPQGHONHOHULQLQ WHNQRORMLNSHUIRUPDQVÕQDLOJLGX\PXúODUGÕU%XLOJLQLQVHYL\HVL'Q\DVDYDúÕG|QHPGH -DSRQ HNRQRPLVLQGHNL \NVHOPH QHGHQL\OH |QHPOL GHUHFHGH DUWPÕúWÕU YH ¶OÕ \ÕOODUGD $V\D NDSODQODUÕQÕQ 7D\YDQ +RQJ .RQJ 6LQJDSXU YH *QH\ .RUH \NVHN WHNQRORML VWUDWHMLQH ED÷OÕ HNRQRPLN E\PH\H VDKLS ROPDODUÕ HNRQRPL WHRULVLQLQ HNR QRPLN E\PH\L DoÕNOD\DQ $U*H YH EHúHUL VHUPD\H ]HULQH \R÷XQODúPDVÕQD QHGHQ RO PXúWXU%ORRPvd.
hONHOHU LQRYDV\RQ VHYL\HOHULQL \NVHOWPHN YH WHNQRORMLN UHNDEHWOHULQL DUWWÕUPDN LoLQ $U*HYHUJLWHúYLNOHULQLX\JXODPD\DEDúODPÕúODUGÕU2(&'ONHOHULLoLQGHGHDUWDQVD\ÕGD ONH $U*H YHUJL WHúYLNOHULQL X\JXODPDNWDGÕU %ORRP vd. $U*H YHUJL WHúYLNOHUL YHUJL LQGLULPL $U*H YHUJL NUHGLOHUL YH KÕ]ODQGÕUÕOPÕú DPRUWLVPDQ úHNLOOHULQGH X\ JXODQDELOPHNWHGLU:DUGD%LUoRN2(&'ONHVL$U*HKDUFDPDODUÕQÕQYHUJLOHQGL ULOHQJHOLUGHQRUDQÕQGDGúOHELOPHVLQHRODQDNVD÷OD\DQ$U*HYHUJLWHúYLNOHULX\ JXODPDNWDGÕU*XHOOHF%XQXQODELUOLNWHYHUJLLQGLULPOHULX]XQG|QHPOL$U*H KDUFDPDODUÕQÕ GHVWHNOHPHGH $U*H GHVWHNOHUL JLEL GL÷HU SROLWLNDODUGDQ GDKD HWNLOLGLUOHU )DON
ùHNLO2(&'ONHOHULQGH\ÕOÕQGDX\JXODQPDNWDRODQ$U*HYHUJLWHúYLNRUDQOD UÕQÕJ|VWHUPHNWHGLUùHNLO¶GHQJ|UOHFH÷L]HUH2(&'ONHOHUL|QHPOLRUDQODUGD$U*H YHUJLWHúYLNOHULX\JXODPDNWDGÕU\ÕOÕQGD2(&'ONHOHULLoLQGHHQ\NVHN$U*HYHUJL WHúYLNLQL RUDQÕ LOH X\JXOD\DQ ONH %HOoLND ROPXúWXU YH %HOoLND¶\Õ YHUJL WHúYLNL RUDQÕLOH)UDQVDL]OHPLúWLU\ÕOÕQGD$U*HYHUJLWHúYLNLQLHQGúNRUDQGDX\JXOD\DQ ONHOHULVHøVYHo<HQL=HODQGDYHùLOL¶GLU7UNL\HLVH\ÕOÕQGDRUDQÕQGD $U*HYHUJLWHúYLNLX\JXODPÕúWÕU
ùekil 2. OECD Ülkelerinde 2016 Ylnda Uygulanan Ar-Ge Vergi Teúvikleri
Kaynak: OECD, R&D Tax Incentive Indicators, http://www.oecd.org/sti/rd-tax-stats.htm. Not: 2016 ylnda Ar-Ge vergi teúvik oran 0 olan OECD ülkeleri grafi÷e dâhil edilmemiútir.
2017 yl itibariyle de OECD ülkelerinde Ar-Ge vergi teúvikleri artan oranlarda devam etmekte, 35 OECD ülkesinden 30’u Ar-Ge vergi teúviklerini uygulamaktadr. OECD ül-kelerinin önemli bir bölümü Ar-Ge harcamalarnn tamamn Ar-Ge vergi teúvikleri ile kapsamaktadr. OECD ülkelerinde Ar-Ge vergi teúviklerini Ar-Ge vergi kredileri ve Ar-Ge vergi muafiyeti olarak uygulamaktadr (OECD, 2018). Tablo 1, OECD ülkelerini bu ba÷-lamda snflandrmaktadr.
Tablo 1. OECD Ülkelerinde Ar-Ge Vergi Teúvik Uygulamalar
OECD Ülkeleri
Ar-Ge Vergi Kredileri
Hacim Tabanl Avusturya, Avustralya, Belçika, Kanada, ùili, Danimarka, Fransa, øzlanda, ørlanda, Japonya (hacim ve özel Ar-Ge), Güney Kore (yatrm vergi kredileri), Yeni Zelanda, Norveç, Macaristan, Birleúik Krallk (büyük firmalar)
Artml/Hibrit øtalya, Japonya, Güney Kore, Meksika, Portekiz, øspanya, ABD
Ar-Ge Vergi øndirimleri
Hacim Tabanl Belçika, Yunanistan, Macaristan, Letonya, Litvanya, Polonya, Slovenya, Slovak Cumhuriyeti, Birleúik Krallk (KOBøler)
Artml/Hibrit Çek Cumhuriyeti, Slovak Cumhuriyeti, Türkiye
Kaynak: OECD (2018:13), Tablo 6’dan elde edilmiútir.
Ar-Ge, Vergi Teúvikleri ve Ekonomik Büyüme: Panel Var Yaklaúm
0,00 0,05 0,10 0,15 0,20 0,25 0,30 Fr ans a Bel çi ka İrl an da Gü ne y Ko re Avu stu rya Bi rle şik K ral lık ABD N orve ç Avu str alya Sl ove nya Ho llan da Kan ad a Mac ar ist an İz lan da İs ve ç Jap on ya Po rt eki z Çe k Cu mh uri ye ti Tü rk iye İtalya İs pan ya Dan imar ka Ye ni Z el an da Li tvan ya Şili 0,290,30 0,25 0,140,150,15 0,07 0,12 0,17 0,12 0,17 0,13 0,09 0,06 0,01 0,110,10 0,050,060,08 0,030,020,010,030,01
AR-GE VERGİ TEŞVİKLERİ
Tablo 1’e göre 15 OECD ülkesi (Avusturya, Avustralya, Belçika, Kanada, ùili, Dani-marka, Fransa, øzlanda, ørlanda, Japonya, Güney Kore, Yeni Zelanda, Norveç, Macaristan, Birleúik Krallk) hacim tabanl Ar-Ge vergi kredilerini Ar-Ge vergi teúviki olarak uygulamaktadr. Buna karúlk 7 OECD ülkesi (øtalya, Japonya, Güney Kore, Meksika, Portekiz, øspanya, ABD) artml/hibrit Ar-Ge vergi kredilerini Ar-Ge vergi teúviki amacyla uygulamaktadr. Ar-Ge vergi indirimlerini hacim tabanl uygulayan OECD ülke says ise 9 dur (Belçika, Yunanistan, Macaristan, Letonya, Litvanya, Polonya, Slovenya, Slovak Cumhuriyeti, Birleúik Krallk). 3 OECD ülkesi ise (Çek Cumhuriyeti, Slovak Cumhuriyeti, Türkiye) artml/hibrit Ar-Ge vergi indirimlerini Ar-Ge teúviki amacyla kullanmaktadr. 4. B-Endeksi
B-Endeksi, bir úirketin Ar-Ge’si üzerindeki marjinal, birim gider için tanmlanan vergi öncesi kârn bir ölçümü olarak tanmlanmaktadr (Warda, 2002). Bu ölçüm genelde zmni sübvansiyon oran (1–B endeksi) olarak ifade edilmektedir. Warda (2002), B-Endeksi’ni aúa÷daki gibi tanmlanmaktadr:
(1) Yukardaki eúitlikte , Ar-Ge harcamalarna uygulanan ödeneklerin ve kredilerin bir-leútirilmiú net bugünkü de÷erini; kurumlar vergisi orann ifade etmektedir.
B-Endeks de÷erinin 1’e eúit oldu÷u durumda cari harcamalar tam olarak (%100) düúülebilir ve bu durumda sübvansiyon oran sfrdr. B-Endeksinin küçük olmas (1’den küçük olmak üzere) Ar-Ge vergi teúvik orannn yüksek oldu÷u dolaysyla Ar-Ge vergi teúvik uygulamalarnn etkin oldu÷u anlamna gelmektedir.
5. Ar-Ge Teúvikleri ve Ekonomik Büyüme
Politika yapclar tarafndan uygulanan Ar-Ge teúviklerinin ekonomik aktiviteye olan etkileri literatürdeki çalúmalar tarafndan incelenmektedir. Erken dönem yaplan çalúmalar Ar-Ge harcamalar ile ekonomik büyüme arasndaki iliúkiyi araútrmú ve anlaml bir iliúkinin varl÷na dair kant bulmuúlardr (Goel ve Ram, 1994; Gittleman ve Wolff, 1995; Park, 1995; Davidson ve Segerstorm, 1998).
øzleyen 2000’li yllarn çalúmalar da ayn araútrma sorunsaln incelemiútir. Bu çalú-malar arasnda yer alan Sylwester (2000), ekonomik büyüme ve Ar-Ge harcaçalú-malar arasnda pozitif ve anlaml bir iliúki tespit etmiútir. Falk (2007), OECD ülkeleri için ileri Finans Politik & Ekonomik Yorumlar (650) Aralk 2019: 205-222
WHNQRORMLLOH\DSÕODQ$U*HKDUFDPDODUÕQÕQHNRQRPLNE\PH\HRODQHWNLOHULQL G|QHPL LoLQ DUDúWÕUPÕúWÕU dDOÕúPDQÕQ VRQXoODUÕQD J|UH \NVHN WHNQRORML\H \DSÕODQ $U*H KDUFDPDODUÕQÕQNLúLEDúÕQDGúHQ*6<+]HULQGHJoOYHDQODPOÕELUHWNLVLEXOXQPDNWDGÕU )DON*RHOvd$%'LoLQ$U*HKDUFDPDODUÕYHHNRQRPLNE\PHLOLúNLVLQL G|QHPLYHULOHULQLNXOODQDUDNLQFHOHPLúOHUGLUdDOÕúPDQÕQVRQXoODUÕIHGHUDOIHGH UDOROPD\DQYHVDYXQPDLoLQ\DSÕODQ$U*HKDUFDPDODUÕQÕQHNRQRPLNE\PH]HULQGHNL |QHPOLHWNLOHULQHGLNNDWoHNPHNWHGLU*RHOvd+DVDQYH7XFFLNUHVHOSD WHQWYHULVLQLNXOODQDUDNQLWHOLNYHQLFHOLNDoÕVÕQGDQ$U*HKDUFDPDODUÕQÕQHNRQRPLNE\ PH\HHWNLOHULQLDUDúWÕUPÕúYHGH÷LúNHQOHUDUDVÕQGDSR]LWLIELULOLúNLWHVSLWHWPLúWLU*XORJOX YH7HNLQ\NVHNJHOLUOL2(&'ONHOHULLoLQ$U*HKDUFDPDODUÕLQRYDV\RQYHHNR QRPLNE\PHLOLúNLVLQLLQFHOHPLúYH$U*HKDUFDPDODUÕQÕQHNRQRPLNE\PH\L*UDQJHU QHGHQVHORODUDNHWNLOHGL÷LVRQXFXQXHOGHHWPLúOHUGLU 9HUL<|QWHPYH$PSLULN6RQXoODU %XoDOÕúPDGD\ÕOODUÕDUDVÕQGDNL*6<+PLO\RQ$%'GRODUÕ%(QGHNVLYH$U *HKDUFDPDODUÕQÕQ*6<+LoLQGHNLSD\Õ2(&'ONHVLLoLQNXOODQÕOPDNWDGÕU*6<+ YH $U*H KDUFDPDODUÕ 'Q\D .DONÕQPD *|VWHUJHOHUL¶QLQ :RUOG 'HYHORSPHQW ,QGLFDWRUV %(QGHNVL LVH (NRQRPLN .DONLQPD YH øúELUOL÷L gUJW¶QQ 2(&' YHULWDEDQODUÕQGDQHOGHHGLOPHNWHGLU
dDOÕúPDQÕQ DPSLULN VRQXoODUÕ 6WDWD SURJUDPÕ NXOODQÕODUDN WDKPLQ HGLOPLúWLU 3DQHO 9$5PRGHOLWDKPLQOHULLoLQ$EULJRYH/RYHPDNDOHVLQGHNLNRGODUNXOODQÕOPÕúWÕU
/LWHUDWUGHNL LON SDQHO YHUL oDOÕúPDODUÕ KDWD WHULPOHULQLQ NHVLW ED÷ÕPOÕOÕ÷ÕQÕ LKPDO HW PLúOHUGLU)DNDWNODVLNSDQHOYHULWDKPLQOHULVDELWYH\DWHVDGILHWNLOHUYH\DJHQHOOHúWLULO PLú PRPHQWOHU \|QWHPL NHVLW ED÷ÕPOÕOÕ÷Õ QHGHQL\OH WDKPLQOHULQ JYHQLOLU ROPDPDVÕQD YH VRQXoRODUDNEHNOHQPH\HQELUúRNXQDoÕNOD\ÕFÕGH÷LúNHQOHNRUHODV\RQXQXQROPDVÕQDQHGHQ RODELOLU$QGUHZV6DUDILGLVYH5REHUWVRQ
'ROD\ÕVÕ\OD EX E|OPGH LON RODUDN YHULOHULQ \DWD\ NHVLW ED÷ÕPOÕOÕ÷Õ WHVW HGLOPHNWHGLU øNLQFLRODUDNGH÷LúNHQOHULQGXUD÷DQOÕNODUÕQHVLOSDQHOELULPN|NWHVWLLOHVÕQDQPDNWDGÕU 6RQ RODUDN $U*H YHUJL WHúYLNOHULQLQ HNRQRPLN E\PH\H RODQ NÕVD YH X]XQ G|QHPGHNL HWNLOHUL3DQHO9$5PRGHOLLOHDQDOL]HGLOPHNWHGLU
<DWD\.HVLW%D÷ÕPOÕOÕN7HVWL
<DWD\ NHVLW ED÷ÕPOÕOÕ÷Õ LON QHVLO SDQHO YHUL OLWHUDWU WDUDIÕQGDQ LKPDO HGLOPLúWLU )DNDW NUHVHORODUDNYHULHULúLOHELOLUOL÷LQLQDUWPDVÕQDED÷OÕRODUDNSDQHOYHULOLWHUDWUPLNURSDQHO PRGHOOHULQGHQELULPOHUDUDVÕQGD\DWD\NHVLWED÷ÕPVÕ]OÕ÷ÕQÕQROPD\DELOHFH÷LJHQLúYHULN PHOHULQLLoHUHQSDQHOPRGHOOHUHHYULOPLúWLU&KXGLNYH3HVDUDQ%XQDED÷OÕRODUDN QHVLO SDQHO YHUL OLWHUDWU SDQHO YHUL NPHOHUL LoLQ \DWD\ NHVLW ED÷ÕPOÕOÕ÷ÕQÕ LQFHOHPH\H EDúODPÕúWÕU
3DQHOYHULPL]GHNL\DWD\NHVLWED÷ÕPOÕOÕ÷ÕQÕVÕQDPDNLoLQ3HVDUDQ¶ÕQ&'FURVV VHFWLRQDOGHSHQGHQFH WHVWLQL X\JXODPDNWD\Õ] &' WHVWLNÕVD ]DPDQ SHUL\RGX YHJHQLú ELULPVD\ÕVÕQD VDKLSRODQKHWHURMHQSDQHOOHUHX\JXODQDELOPHNWHGLU
3HVDUDQ LNLOL NRUHODV\RQ NDWVD\ÕODUÕQD ED÷OÕ &'¶\L DúD÷ÕGDNL JLEL WDQÕPODPDN WDGÕU EXUDGD NDOÕQWÕODUÕQLNLOLNRUHODV\RQODUÕQÕQ|UQHNOHPWDKPLQLGLU7DEOR*6<+%(Q GHNVLYH$U*HGH÷LúNHQOHULLoLQ&'WHVWVRQXoODUÕQÕLoHUPHNWHGLU 7DEOR&'7HVW6RQXoODUÕ 'H÷LúNHQ CD7HVWL GSYH B_Endeksi ArGe
1RW VÕUDVÕ\OD YH JYHQ DUDOÕNODUÕQÕ J|VWHUPHNWHGLU 6ÕIÕU KLSRWH]L \DWD\ NHVLW ED÷ÕPVÕ]OÕ÷ÕQÕLIDGHHWPHNWHGLU
7DEOR¶\H J|UH &' WHVWL *6<+ YH $U*H VHULOHUL LoLQ \DWD\ NHVLW ED÷ÕPVÕ]OÕ÷ÕQÕ JYHQG]H\LQGHUHGGHWPHNWHGLU%(QGHNVLLoLQ\DWD\NHVLWED÷ÕPVÕ]OÕ÷ÕNDEXOHGLOPHVLQH UD÷PHQ WDKPLQ LVWDWLVWLNL RODUDN DQODPVÕ]GÕU 'ROD\ÕVÕ\OD VHULOHULQ GXUD÷DQOÕ÷ÕQÕ VÕQDPDN LoLQ \DWD\ NHVLW ED÷ÕPOÕOÕ÷ÕQÕ J|] |QQGH EXOXQGXUDQ QHVLO SDQHO ELULP N|N WHVWOHULQL NXOODQPDPÕ]JHUHNPHNWHGLU
3DQHO%LULP.|N7HVWL
<DWD\NHVLWED÷ÕPOÕOÕ÷ÕQHGHQL\OHQHVLOELULPN|NWHVWOHULVHULOHULQGXUD÷DQOÕ÷ÕQÕ VÕQDPDN LoLQ NXOODQÕOPDNWDGÕU %X ED÷ODPGD 3HVDUDQ¶ÕQ &,36 WHVWL NXOODQÕOPDNWDGÕU
3HVDUDQVWDQGDUW$')$XJPHQWHG'LFNH\)XOOHUUHJUHV\RQODUÕQD\DWD\ NHVLWVHYL\HOHULQLQOHYHOVJHFLNPHOLGH÷HUOHULYHVHULOHULQELULQFLIDUNODUÕQÕHNOH\HQ ELU PRGHO |QHUPLúWLU %X PRGHOLQ |QHUGL÷L SDQHO ELULP N|N WHVWL &$') FURVV VHFWLRQDOO\ DXJPHQWHG $') RODUDN LVLPOHQGLULOPHNWH YH DúD÷ÕGDNL JLEL WDQÕPODQPDNWDGÕU &,36FURVVVHFWLRQDOO\DXJPHQWHG,36LVHDúD÷ÕGDNLJLELWDQÕPODQPDNWDGÕU 7DEOR&,36SDQHOELULPN|NWHVWLVRQXoODUÕQÕYHUPHNWHGLU 7DEOR&,363DQHO%LULP.|N7HVWL6RQXoODUÕ &,367HVWL 'H÷LúNHQ 6DELW
7HULP 6DELW7HULP 7UHQG
'H÷LúNHQ 6DELW
7HULP 6DELW7HULP 7UHQG GSYH ArGe 1RW VÕUDVÕ\ODYHJYHQDUDOÕNODUÕQÕJ|VWHUPHNWHGLU6ÕIÕUKLSRWH]L\DWD\ NHVLWED÷ÕPVÕ]OÕ÷ÕQÕLIDGHHWPHNWHGLU0RGHOVDELWWHULPHNOHQHUHNWDKPLQHGLOPLúWLU
7DEOR ¶H J|UH *6<+ %(QGHNVL YH $U*H KDUFDPDODUÕ VHULOHULQLQ IDUNODUÕ LVWDWLVWLNLDQODPOÕOÕNG]H\LQGHLQWHUFHSWVDELWWHULPIRUPODUÕQGDGXUD÷DQGÕU
6HULOHU WUHQG LoHUPHGL÷LQGHQ GROD\Õ DQDOL]GH LQWHUFHSW LoLQ RODQ ELULP N|N WHVWL VRQXoODUÕQÕ HVDV DOPDNWD\Õ]
3DQHO9$50RGHOL
3DQHO 9$5 \|QWHPL JHOHQHNVHO 9$5 PRGHOLQLQ SDQHO YHUL VHWLQH X\DUODQPÕú KDOLGLU &DQRYDYH&LFFDUHOOL3DQHO9$5PRGHOLPLNURG]H\GHWDKPLQOHPHLoLQHUNHQ G|QHPoDOÕúPDODUWDUDIÕQGDQNXOODQÕOPÕúWÕU+ROW](DNLQYG
LoVHO GH÷LúNHQOHULQ YHNW|U ROPDN ]HUH LoLQ 9$5 PRGHOL DúD÷ÕGDNL JLEL WDQÕPODQPDNWDGÕU&DQRYDYH&LFFDUHOOL
<XNDUÕGDNL HúLWOLNWH JHFLNPH LúOHPLQLQ SROLQRP IRUPX YH LLG LGHQWLFDOO\ LQGHSHQGHQWGLVWULEXWHGED÷ÕPVÕ]|]GHúoHGD÷ÕOPÕúDQODPÕQDJHOPHNWHGLU9$5PRGHOLQ GHQKDUHNHWOH&DQRYDYH&LFFDUHOOL3DQHO9$5PRGHOLQLDúD÷ÕGDNLJLELWDQÕPODQ PDNWDGÕU
<XNDUÕGD UDVVDOGH÷LúNHQOHULQ YHNW|UGU
$U*H YHUJL WHúYLNOHUL YH HNRQRPLN E\PH DUDVÕQGDNL LOLúNL DúD÷ÕGD LIDGH HGLOHQ 3DQHO9$5PRGHOLLOHLQFHOHQPHNWHGLU
%XUDGD ONHOHUL \ÕOÕ LVHKHUELUONHLoLQ YH
GH÷LúNHQOHULQLLoHUHQ YHNW|ULIDGHHWPHNWHGLU
3DQHO9$5PRGHOLLoLQRSWLPDOJHFLNPHGHUHFHVLVHoLPL*00Generalized Method of Moments*HQHOOHúWLULOPLú0RPHQWOHU<|QWHPLLOH\DSÕOPDNWDGÕUYHVRQXoODU7DEOR¶GH YHULOPHNWHGLU
7DEOR*HFLNPH'HUHFHVL6HoLP6RQXoODUÕ
*HFLNPH &' - -SGH÷HUL 0%,& 0$,& 04,&
Finans Politik & Ekonomik Yorumlar (650) AralÕk 2019: 205-222
*HFLNPH GHUHFHVL VHoLP NULWHULQGH GH÷LúNHQOHULQ LON JHFLNPHOHUL SDQHO 9$5 PRGH OLQGH NXOODQÕOPDNWDGÕU (Q NoN 0%,& YH 04,& GH÷HUOHULQH VDKLS ROPDVÕQGDQ GROD\Õ SDQHO9$5PRGHOLQGHJHFLNPHGHUHFHVLRODUDNVHoLOPHNWHGLU *HFLNPHGHUHFHVLWHUFLKNULWHULQHJ|UHLONGH÷LúHQLQLQHQVWUPDQLQVWUXPHQWRODUDN NXOODQÕOGÕ÷ÕGHUHFHSDQHO9$5PRGHOLWDKPLQHGLOPHNWHGLU3DQHO9$5PRGHOLHWNLWHSNL IRQNVL\RQODUÕùHNLO¶GHYHULOPHNWHGLU ùHNLO3DQHO9$5(WNL7HSNL)RQNVL\RQODUÕ
3DQHO 9$5 HWNLWHSNL DQDOL] VRQXoODUÕQD J|UH L SR]LWLI %(QGHNVL YH $U*H úRNODUÕ NDUúÕVÕQGD *6<+ EDúODQJÕoWD \NVHOPHNWH YH X]XQ G|QHPGH úRNODUÕQ HWNLOHUL RUWDGDQ NDONPDNWDGÕULL3R]LWLI%(QGHNVLúRNODUÕ$U*H\DWÕUÕPODUÕQÕQVÕQÕUOÕPLNWDUGD\NVHOPH VLQHQHGHQROPDNWDGÕULLL3R]LWLI*6<+úRNODUÕ$U*H\DWÕUÕPODUÕQÕQ\NVHOPHVLQH%(Q GHNVLQLQLVHNoNELUPLNWDUGDGúPHVLQHQHGHQROPDNWDGÕU 3DQHO9$5DQDOL]LVRQXoODUÕYHUJLWHúYLNOHULQLQYH$U*H\DWÕUÕPKDUFDPDODUÕQÕQ\N VHOPHVLQLQHNRQRPLNE\PH\LSR]LWLIRODUDNGHVWHNOHGL÷LKLSRWH]LQLGHVWHNOHPHNWHGLU
+DQVHQ¶LQ - LVWDWLVWLN LOJLOL 3GH÷HUL YH $QGUHZV YH /XQXQ PRPHQW VHoLP NULWHUL *00 WDKPLQOHULLoLQRSWLPDOJHFLNPHGHUHFHVLQLQVHoLPLDPDFÕ\ODNXOODQÕOPDNWDGÕU
6.4. Panel Granger Nedensellik Testi
Granger (1969), ve zaman serileri arasndaki nedenselli÷i tespit etmek için aúa÷-daki modeli tanmlamútr.
(8)
Yukardaki model için sfr hipotezini úeklinde ifade etmiútir. hipotezinin reddedilmesi durumunda ’den ’ye do÷u nedenselli÷in varl÷ndan söz edilebilir.
Abrigo ve Love (2016), panel Granger nedensellik testinin Panel VAR modeli ile elde edilen GMM tahminlerine Wald testi uygulanmas ile yaplabilece÷ini belirtmektedir. enstürüman içeren varsayilan kümenin (common set), olmak üzere, satr vektörleriyle verildi÷ini kabul edelim. Abrigo ve Love (2016:3), dönüútürülmüú (transformed) panel VAR modelini aúa÷daki gibi tanmlamaktadr:
(9)
Yukardaki eúitlikte, ,
ve dr.
Bu durumda GMM tahmini aúa÷daki gibi tanmlanmaktadr.
(10)
Yukarda tekil olmayan (non-singular), simetrik ve pozitif yar tanml
matristir. Panel Granger nedensellik testi GMM tahmini olan ve ’nn kovaryans matrisinden Wald testi vastasyla elde edilmektedir.
Finans Politik & Ekonomik Yorumlar (650) Aralk 2019: 205-222
, ve
'H÷LúNHQOHUDUDVÕQGDNLQHGHQVHOOLNEX\DNODúÕPODVÕQDQPDNWDGÕU3DQHO*UDQJHUQHGHQ VHOOLNWHVWLVRQXoODUÕ7DEOR¶GHYHULOPHNWHGLU
7DEOR3DQHO*UDQJHU1HGHQVHOOLN7HVWL6RQXoODUÕ
(TXDWLRQ?([FOXGHG FKL GI 3URE!FKL
%B(QGHNVL*6<+ $U*H*6<+ $OO*6<+ *6<+%B(QGHNVL $U*H%B(QGHNVL $OO%B(QGHNVL *6<+$U*H %B(QGHNVL$U*H $OO$U*H 3DQHO*UDQJHU1HGHQVHOOLNWHVWLVRQXoODUÕ$U*HKDUFDPDODUÕQGDQ*6<+¶\HYH%(Q GHNVLQH GR÷UX WHN \|QO QHGHQVHOOL÷LQ YDUOÕ÷ÕQD LúDUHW HWPHNWHGLU )DNDW *6<+ YH % (QGHNVLQGHQGL÷HUGH÷LúNHQOHUHGR÷UXQHGHQVHOOLNWHVSLWHGLOHPHPLúWLU
6RQXoYH'H÷HUOHQGLUPH
%XoDOÕúPDGD$PHULND%LUOHúLN'HYOHWOHUL$YXVWXU\D%HOoLNDdHN&XPKXUL\HWL.DQDGD )UDQVD *QH\ .RUH øQJLOWHUH øVSDQ\D 0DFDULVWDQ ONHOHUL WDUDIÕQGDQ X\JXODQDQ YHUJL WHúYLNOHULQLQYH$U*H\DWÕUÕPODUÕQÕQHNRQRPLNE\PH\HRODQHWNLOHULYHULOHUL NXOODQÕODUDN SDQHO 9$5 DQDOL]L \|QWHPL\OH LQFHOHQPLúWLU %X NDSVDPGD $U*H YHUJL WHúYLNOHULQLQ J|VWHUJHVL RODQ %(QGHNVL $U*H KDUFDPDODUÕQÕQ *6<+¶\H RUDQÕ YH *6<+ VHULOHUL HNRQRPHWULN DQDOL]GH NXOODQÕOPÕúWÕU gQFHOLNOH YHULOHU DUDVÕQGDNL \DWD\ NHVLW ED÷ÕPOÕ÷ÕQÕQYDUOÕ÷Õ3HVDUDQ&'WHVWLLOHLQFHOHQPLúYHYHULOHULoLQ\DWD\NHVLW ED ÷ÕPOÕOÕ÷ÕWHVSLWHGLOPLúWLU%XQHGHQOHYHULOHULQGXUD÷DQOÕ÷Õ3HVDUDQ¶ÕQQHVLOSDQHO ELULPN|NWHVWL&,36LOHVÕQDQPÕúYHVHULOHULQIDUNODUÕQÕQGXUD÷DQROGX÷XEHOLUOHQPLúWLU
3DQHO9$5DQDOL]LIDUNVHULOHULLoLQX\JXODQPÕúROXSYHUJLWHVYLNOHULYH$U*HKDU FDPDODUÕQÕQ HNRQRPLN E\PH\L SR]LWLI RODUDN HWNLOHGL÷L WHVSLW HGLOPLúWLU %XQD NDUúÕQ HNRQRPLNE\PHQLQ$U*HKDUFDPDODUÕQÕ\NVHOWWL÷LQLYH%(QGHNVLQLLVHNÕVDG|QHPGH
GúUG÷WHVSLWHGLOPLúWLU%XGXUXP%(QGHNVLYHHNRQRPLNE\PHDUDVÕQGDDVLPHWULN ELU LOLúNL ROGX÷XQD LúDUHW HWPHNWHGLU 6HULOHU DUDVÕQGDNL QHGHQVHOOLN LOLúNLVL 3DQHO *UDQJHU 1HGHQVHOOLNWHVWLLOHLQFHOHQPLúROXS$U*HKDUFDPDODUÕQGDQHNRQRPLNE\PHYH$U*H YHUJLWHúYLNOHULQHGR÷UXWHN\|QOQHGHQVHOOLNWHVSLWHGLOPLúWLU
%X oDOÕúPDGDQ HOGH HGLOHQ VRQXoODU $U*H \DWÕUÕPODUÕQÕQ YH $U*H YHUJL WHúYLNOHULQLQ HNRQRPLN E\PH\L WHWLNOH\HFH÷L DUJPDQÕQÕ GR÷UXODPDNWDGÕU %X QHGHQOH VD÷OÕNOÕ YH VUGUOHELOLUELUHNRQRPLNSHUIRUPDQV\DNDODQDELOPHVLLoLQSROLWLND\DSÕFÕODU$U*HYHUJL WHúYLNOHULQLYH$U*H\DWÕUÕPODUÕQÕ|]HQGLULFLYHGHVWHNOH\LFL|QOHPOHUDOPDOÕGÕUODU
.D\QDNoD
$%5,*205 /29(,(VWLPDWLRQRISDQHOYHFWRUDXWRUHJUHVVLRQLQ6WDWD7KH6WDWD -RXUQDO
$&,1g52ö/8 6 *HQHO RODUDN YHUJL WHúYLNOHULQLQ HNRQRPL ]HULQH HWNLQOL÷L8OXVODUDUDVÕ øNWLVDGLYHøGDULøQFHOHPHOHU'HUJLVL
$.d20$. 6 $U*H 9HUJL 'HVWHNOHUL 1H .DGDU (WNLQ" %LOJL dD÷Õ KWWSZZZPHWXHGXWUaDNFRPDNBELOJLFDJLBKD]LUDQSGI (ULúLP 7DULKL
$1'5(:V'&URVVVHFWLRQUHJUHVVLRQZLWKFRPPRQVKRFNV(FRQRPHWULFD $1'5(:6': /8%&RQVLVWHQWPRGHODQGPRPHQWVHOHFWLRQSURFHGXUHVIRU*00
HVWLPDWLRQ ZLWK DSSOLFDWLRQ WR G\QDPLF SDQHO GDWD PRGHOV-RXUQDO RI (&2120(75ø&6
%/2201*5ø))ø7+5 9$15((1(1-'R5 'WD[FUHGLWVZRUN"(YLGHQFHIURP DSDQHORIFRXQWULHV±-RXUQDORI3XEOLF(FRQRPLFV
%g6(1%(5* 6 (**(5 3 + 5 ' WD[ LQFHQWLYHV DQG WKH HPHUJHQFH DQG WUDGH RI LGHDV(FRQRPLFSROLF\
&$129$) &ø&&$5(//ø03DQHO9HFWRU$XWRUHJUHVVLYH0RGHOV$6XUYH\յ7KH YLHZV H[SUHVVHGLQWKLVDUWLFOHDUHWKRVHRIWKHDXWKRUVDQGGRQRWQHFHVVDULO\UHIOHFWWKRVHRIWKH (&% RU WKH (XURV\VWHP ,Q9$5 0RGHOV LQ 0DFURHFRQRPLFV±1HZ 'HYHORSPHQWV DQG $SSOLFDWLRQV (VVD\V LQ +RQRU RI &KULVWRSKHU $ 6LPVSS (PHUDOG *URXS 3XEOLVKLQJ/LPLWHG
&+8',. $ 3(6$5$1 0 + /DUJH SDQHO GDWD PRGHOV ZLWK FURVVVHFWLRQDO GHSHQGHQFHDVXUYH\&$)(5HVHDUFK3DSHU
d$/,ù$1(//(5$³.2%ø¶OHUøoLQ$U*H5HKEHUL$U*H'HVWHNYH7HúYLNOHULQLQ7UNL\H 0XKDVHEH 6WDQGDUWODUÕ 9HUJL 0HY]XDWÕ YH VD\ÕOÕ .DQXQ .DSVDPÕQGD gUQHNOHUOH øQFHOHQPHVL´ 0$=$56 øVWDQEXO KWWSVZZZPD]DUVFRPWU$QDVD\ID+DEHUOHU5DSRU $UDVWLUPDODU.2%,OHU,FLQ$U*H5HKEHUL$5*(7HVYLNOHULQLQ7XHUNL\H0XKDVHEH
6WDQGDUWODUL9HUJL0HY]XDWLYH6D\LOL1$9(ULúLP7DULKL
d(/(%, $ . .$+5,0$1 + $YUXSD %LUOL÷L hONHOHUL YH 7UNL\H¶GH $U*H )DDOL\HWOHULQH<|QHOLN9HUJL7HúYLNOHULYH%XQODUÕQ.DUúÕODúWÕUPDOÕ$QDOL]LMaliye Dergisi, 161
'$9,'621 & 6(*(567520 3 5 ' VXEVLGLHV DQG HFRQRPLF JURZWK7KH 5$1' -RXUQDORI(FRQRPLFV
DELOITTE $UDúWÕUPD YH *HOLúWLUPH $U*H )DDOL\HWOHUL KWWSVZZZGHORLWWHFRPWUWUSDJHVWD[VROXWLRQVUHVHDUFKGHYHORSPHQWJRYHUQPHQWLQFHQWLYHV RYHUYLHZKWPODGUHVLQGHQDOÕQGÕ
'(0,5/,<7UNL\H¶GH7HNQRSDUNODUD<|QHOLN7HúYLNOHUYH7HNQRSDUNODUÕQ%LOLP YH 7HNQRORML.DSDVLWHVLQLQ*HOLúLPLQH.DWNÕVÕ0DOL\H'HUJLVL6D\Õ2FDN+D]LUDQ (/6&+1(5&(5167&The impact of R&D tax incentives on R&D costs and income.
0DQQKHLP=HQWUXPIU(XURSDLVFKHWDULKLQGHDOÕQGÕ
(5167&5,&+7(5. 5,('(/1&RUSRUDWHWD[DWLRQDQGWKHTXDOLW\RIUHVHDUFKDQG GHYHORSPHQWInternational Tax and Public Finance, 21
)$/. 0 :KDW GULYHV EXVLQHVV 5 ' LQWHQVLW\ DFURVV 2(&' FRXQWULHV"1R :,)2 :RUNLQJ3DSHUV
)$/. 0 5 ' VSHQGLQJ LQ WKH KLJKWHFK VHFWRU DQG HFRQRPLF JURZWK5HVHDUFK LQ HFRQRPLFV
*,77/(0$1 0$85< :ROII (':$5' 1 5 ' $FWLYLW\ DQG &URVV &RXQWU\ *URZWK &RPSDULVRQV&DPEULGJH-RXUQDORI(FRQRPLFV9ROSS
*2(/5.5$055HVHDUFKDQG'HYHORSPHQW([SHQGLWXUHVDQG(FRQRPLF*URZWK$ &URVV&RXQWU\6WXG\(FRQRPLF'HYHORSPHQWDQG&XOWXUDO&KDQJH9RO1RSS *2(/ 5 . 3$<1( - ( 5$0 5 5 ' H[SHQGLWXUHV DQG 86 HFRQRPLF JURZWK $
GLVDJJUHJDWHG DSSURDFK-RXUQDORISROLF\PRGHOLQJ
*gd(5 ø .87%$< + *(5('( & $6/$1 5 9HUJL 7HúYLNOHULQLQ $5*( YH øQRYDV\RQD(WNLVL3DQHO(úEWQOHúPHYH1HGHQVHOOLN$QDOL]L0DOL\H'HUJLVL *5$1*(5 & : ,QYHVWLJDWLQJ FDXVDOUHODWLRQV E\ HFRQRPHWULF PRGHOV DQG FURVVVSHFWUDO
PHWKRGV(FRQRPHWULFD-RXUQDORIWKH(FRQRPHWULF6RFLHW\
*8(//(& ' 9$1 3277(/6%(5*+( '( /$ 3277(5,( % 7KH LPSDFW RI SXEOLF 5 ' H[SHQGLWXUH RQ EXVLQHVV 5 '(FRQRPLFV RI LQQRYDWLRQDQG QHZ WHFKQRORJ\
*8/2*/8 % 7(.,1 5 % $ SDQHO FDXVDOLW\ DQDO\VLV RI WKH UHODWLRQVKLS DPRQJ UHVHDUFK DQG GHYHORSPHQW LQQRYDWLRQ DQG HFRQRPLF JURZWK LQ KLJKLQFRPH 2(&' FRXQWULHV(XUDVLDQ(FRQRPLF5HYLHZ
*h=(/ 6 $UJH KDUFDPDODUÕ YH YHUJL WHúYLNOHUL EHOLUOL ONHOHU NDUúÕVÕQGD 7UNL\H¶QLQ GXUXPX(VNLúHKLU2VPDQJD]LhQLYHUVLWHVLøø%)'HUJLVL
+$16(1 / 3 /DUJH VDPSOH SURSHUWLHV RI JHQHUDOL]HG PHWKRG RI PRPHQWV HVWLPDWRUV(FRQRPHWULFD-RXUQDORIWKH(FRQRPHWULF6RFLHW\
+$6$1 , 78&&, & / 7KH LQQRYDWLRQ±HFRQRPLF JURZWK QH[XV *OREDO HYLGHQFH5HVHDUFK3ROLF\
.12// % %$80$11 0 5,('(/ 1 7KH *OREDO (IIHFWV RI 5 ' 7D[ ,QFHQWLYHV (YLGHQFH IURP 0LFUR'DWD Beiträge zur Jahrestagung des Vereins für Socialpolitik 2014: Evidenzbasierte.
.87%$< + g= ( 7UNL\H YH 6HoLOPLú hONHOHUGH $U*H )DDOL\HWOHULQH <|QHOLN 8\JXODQDQ9HUJL7HúYLNOHULQLQ.DUúÕODúWÕUÕOPDVÕ<RQHWLPYH(NRQRPL 2(&' OECD Science, Technology and Industry Outlook 2014. 3DULV 2(&' 3XEOLVKLQJ
GRLKWWSG[GRLRUJVWLBRXWORRNHQ
3$5.:$/7(5*,QWHUQDWLRQDO5 '6SLOORYHUVDQG2(&'(FRQRPLF*URZWK(FRQRPLF ,QTXLU9RO1RSS
3(6$5$1 0 *HQHUDO 'LDJQRVWLF 7HVWV IRU &RUVV 6HFWLRQ 'HSHQGHQFH LQ 3DQHOV ,=$ 'LVFXVVLRQ3DSHU
3(6$5$1 0 + $ VLPSOH SDQHO XQLW URRW WHVW LQ WKH SUHVHQFH RI FURVV̺VHFWLRQ Finans Politik & Ekonomik Yorumlar (650) Aralk 2019: 205-222
6$5$),',6 9 7 :$16%((. &URVVVHFWLRQDO GHSHQGHQFH LQ SDQHO GDWD DQDO\VLV (FRQRPHWULF5HYLHZV 62.2/290/$'(129,û 6 &9(7$129,û 6 0/$'(129,û , 5 ' H[SHQGLWXUHDQGHFRQRPLFJURZWK(8HYLGHQFHIRUWKHSHULRG±(FRQRPLFUHVHDUFK (NRQRPVNDLVWUDåLYDQMD 6</:(67(5.5 'DQG(FRQRPLF*URZWK.QRZOHGJH7HFKQRORJ\ 3ROLF\9RO 1RSS 726812ö/8ù7D[,QFHQWLYHVIRU5 'DQG,QQRYDWLRQ,QVLJKWVIURP2(&'&RXQWULHV EconWorld. %DUFHORQD KWWSEDUFHORQDHFRQZRUOGRUJSDSHUV7RVXQRJOXB7D[SGI DGUHVLQGHQDOÕQGÕ
2(&'2(&'5(9,(:2)1$7,21$/5 '7$;,1&(17,9(6$1'(67,0$7(62) 5 ' 7$; 68%6,'< 5$7(6 KWWSZZZRHFGRUJVWLUGWD[VWDWVGHVLJQVXEVLG\SGI DGUHVLQGHQDOÕQGÕ
:$5'$-Measuring the value of R&D tax treatment in OECD countries.3DULV2(&' WDULKLQGHDOÕQGÕ
:(67025(%R&D, patenting and growth: The role of public policy.2(&'